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College sports eligibility rules could have a seismic shift

Are five-year athletes inevitable?

It’s the weekend!

Thanks for reading NIL Wire today. We could have a major shift in eligibility rules, the amount of money Cincinnati is paying in its quest to make Brendan Sorsby pay is revealed and former college QBs talk about how much better the NIL life can be than the NFL. These are three fascinating topics that will continue to be discussed.

Be safe, and have fun!

— Kyle

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THE BIG 3

NCAA proposal could reshape college sports eligibility

The Jacksonville State men’s basketball team is as anonymous as teams come. But as Ross Dellenger pointed out in a story for On3 this week, the Gamecocks could become one of the poster-child programs for potential new NCAA eligibility standards. 

Jax State has seven seniors who have played four seasons without redshirting. Under a new model being contemplated, those seven players could be back for one more year. Instead of four seasons in five years, athletes would be given a five-year window to compete, starting at age 19 or upon high school graduation (whichever comes first). In exchange, redshirts and waiver-based extensions would disappear.

The idea is still in development. The Division I governance group responsible for rulemaking reviewed the concept this week and decided to move forward, drafting formal language and exploring how it might be implemented, possibly as soon as the next academic year.

That’s where things get complicated. Will the rule apply to current seniors? Historically, the NCAA has sometimes grandfathered in athletes during major rule changes, allowing certain groups to benefit from new policies retroactively. Doing so here could help avoid legal challenges.

The lack of clarity is creating a strange holding pattern, with players unsure about their futures. The financial angle is impossible to ignore. At the upper levels of college basketball, NIL compensation has surged dramatically. Top players are commanding multi-million-dollar deals. Even contributors are getting life-changing money. The incentive to stay in college for another year (like one of the stories below) has never been stronger. 

If the NCAA does extend eligibility to current seniors, it would trigger a cascade of logistical questions. Would those athletes get access to a separate transfer portal window? The NCAA has created similar mechanisms before, including a special portal period for athletes affected by roster limit changes.

Until formal legislation is written and approved, everyone is left waiting. Jax State and other programs sit in limbo, caught between the rules that exist and the ones that might soon replace them.

Inside Cincinnati’s NIL lawsuit

College football's NIL era is getting messy, and Cincinnati just handed us a front-row seat.

Back in February, UC became one of a growing number of schools taking former athletes to court, filing a federal lawsuit against ex-quarterback Brendan Sorsby after he transferred to Texas Tech. Now, thanks to some digging by David Covucci over at FOIA Ball, we have a clearer picture of exactly what Cincinnati is spending to chase that money down.

In early January, Sorsby announced he was heading to Texas Tech, reportedly with a shiny new NIL deal worth around $5 million in his pocket. Six weeks later, Cincinnati sued him, claiming he breached an NIL agreement and owes the school a $1 million exit penalty.

According to the complaint, Sorsby had signed an 18-month NIL deal back in July 2025, covering both the 2025 and 2026 seasons. Cincinnati called it a “multi-million dollar agreement” built on the idea that his value would grow in year two. The contract apparently included a clause requiring a $1 million payment if he walked early. And Cincinnati says he’s refused to pay up.

Cincinnati brought in serious firepower. The school hired Barnes & Thornburg as outside counsel in December 2025, right around the time Sorsby entered the portal, and expanded that agreement to include litigation once things escalated in January. Leading the charge is David DeVillers, a former US Attorney who previously worked in the federal court where the case was filed (Southern District of Ohio). He’s joined by attorney Chris Bayh, making it a high-profile legal team for a college sports dispute.

As for the bill? The Ohio Attorney General's Office has approved up to $50,000 in legal fees through the end of the fiscal year, with attorneys billing at $350 per hour. DeVillers has also been listed as counsel for Ten Talents, an NIL agency founded by former Ohio State quarterback Cardale Jones. The agency markets itself as an advocate for players, which makes its role on the opposite side of this dispute at least a little eyebrow-raising.

Since the House settlement reshaped college athletics, legal battles between players and programs have become more common. Schools are increasingly willing to enforce NIL contracts in court, and as a public university, Cincinnati’s moves are visible through public records requests.

Athletes now have more freedom and more earning potential than ever before. But schools are making clear they expect contracts to mean something. As NIL money grows, expect more disputes like this one. And more of them will end up before a judge.

NIL is reshaping NFL draft decisions

NIL’s impact on the NFL draft is something we’ve talked about recently. The Athletic’s David Ubben went deeper on it, providing numbers

NIL money has grown so large that, for many top players, staying in school is no longer a developmental stepping stone – it’s the more lucrative and lower-risk financial choice. One of the biggest examples is Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss. As a projected mid-round NFL pick, he would likely fall under the league’s rookie wage scale, earning somewhere between $1.2 million and $2.35 million annually with limited guarantees. His NIL valuation is expected to reach $5–6 million for a single season, fully guaranteed.

That gap fundamentally alters the traditional incentive structure that once pushed players toward the draft as soon as possible. This “economic inversion,” as Ubben frames it, is showing up across the sport’s top tier. QBs Will Howard and Riley Leonard both confirmed that their final college seasons at Ohio State and Notre Dame were more profitable than their early NFL years. Despite reaching the sport’s highest level, their rookie contracts with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts average about $1.1 million annually, paltry for a star college QB. 

Leonard’s comments highlight the risk. In college, NIL deals are structured to be largely guaranteed, offering financial stability regardless of performance dips or injuries. In the NFL, however, only a fraction of a rookie contract is guaranteed, only $200,000 in Leonard’s case. The rest depends on making and staying on the roster, a reality that introduces significant uncertainty. For players projected outside the first round, where guarantees are much stronger, the financial downside of going pro early has never been clearer.

For players, the decision timeline is changing. Entering the draft is no longer automatically the most rational financial move. For college programs, deep-pocketed boosters and collectives are effectively acting as retention tools, allowing teams to keep experienced stars longer and maintain continuity. And for the NFL, it creates a subtle downstream effect with older rookies, smaller early-career financial gaps between draft positions and potentially a shift in how teams evaluate.

NIL hasn’t just added money to college football – it’s reshaped the career calculus. For a growing number of elite players, the smartest short-term business decision is to stay exactly where they are.

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

Cash is king in college sports

Alabama general manager Courtney Morgan spoke with Front Office Sports about what it takes to be a national championship contender in the NIL era.

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NIL BLITZ

♦️ Austin Meek of The Athletic has a great story on the growing strife between St. Bonaventure GM and former media whiz Adrian Wojnarowski and the Olean, N.Y. community.

♦️ Good stuff from Matt Norlander of CBS Sports on how the transfer portal hysteria is taking away from the euphoria of winning the national championship.

♦️ TCU’s football stadium is nicknamed the Camden Yards of college football. Arch-rival SMU wants to have a Four Seasons.

♦️ Former Ohio State lacrosse player-turned-Oklahoma football player Owen Heinecke is the latest athlete to win an eligibility case against the NCAA.

♦️ No surprise: the CEO of Fox Sports is in favor of the Big Ten’s 24-team playoff model.

♦️ Ole Miss chancellor Glenn Boyce chimes in on NIL and the future of college sports.

♦️ New sports: Iowa State adds women’s wrestling. Eastern Michigan adds women’s flag football.

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BATTER UP

Today’s Poll Question:

What’s the biggest long-term impact of NIL on college sports?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Last Edition’s Poll Results:

Has NIL changed your interest in college sports?

  • More interested - 19%

  • Less interested - 57%

  • No change - 24%

“Not even close.”

— Indiana coach Curt Cignetti on whether Indiana’s roster cost $40 million in 2025